Dashboard
loading...Open positions
1
$114.17 committed
Bankroll
$9,135.26
+82.71% from $5,000 start
Realized PnL
+$4,135.26
today +$0.00 · 258 closes
Win rate
42.6%
110W / 144L / 4 even
Decisions today
0
0 tradeable (conv ≥70)
AI spend today
$0.0000
avg conv - · top -
boss: loading...
Trading today
0 / 0
opens / closes
Risk gate today
0 / 0
allowed / blocked
Recent closes
paper PnL last 6 closes · all trades →Upcoming resolutions
open positions sorted by resolve date| Resolves | Market | Side | Notional | Max win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Aug 17 5:00pm |
polymarket Will Byron Donalds be the Republican ... |
no | $114.17 | +$799.17 (8.00x) |
Recent activity
last 6h - full feed →loading...
Engine
...
checking
Database
...
MySQL connection
AI providers
Claude-
Gemini-
ChatGPT-
Markets ingested
1,353,307
1,348,178 K / 5,129 P
Last scan
loading...
Project timeline
major model + strategy changes
Fri May 22
Real stall fix: every Boss signal in 3 days was at fill <0.10 and getting blocked. Reopened deep-underdog (min_fill_price 0.10→0.05) with damage control: stake capped at 1% bankroll when fill <0.15 regardless of conviction tier
Wed May 20
Volume push: conviction floor 70→60; new experimental tier (60-69) at 1% bankroll; payout floor 1.5x→1.25x; slot capacity 50→64; slate cadence 30→20min - targeting 15-20 trades/day for data collection
Sat May 16
Major patch: duplicate-position gate (was bleeding $1,333 across 7 markets); skip fills < 0.10 (5 losses in a row); skip late-stage extreme markets (Warsh shape); slate conviction floor 70→60; slate sizing 1.5x; whale_copy notional 50→35
Wed May 13
Pause MM (silent $1,108 loss) + arb discovery (0 pairs found); activate 7 political multi-outcome slates (CA Gov, IA/ME/NM/FL primaries, Sweden PM, Colombia R1) for slate-style trade volume
Wed May 13
Crypto exclusion (KXBTC/KXETH/KXSOL + Polymarket bitcoin/ethereum subcategories); fat_pitch tier sizing downgraded to high (0.04) after 5 losses on deep-mispricing pattern; trade 115 closed manually. See docs/deep_review_2026-05-13.md
Tue May 12
Audit: exclude Kalshi CPI prints (3-for-3 losses) + Polymarket sports/entertainment (Eurovision/EPL/Wimbledon/etc); Eurovision slate deactivated. See docs/audit_2026-05-12.md
Sun May 10
Activity feed: hide skip-only decisions by default; toggle to show with slate batches collapsed
Sun May 10
Whale-copy Tier 1: 60min hold window + exit threshold $200 to $1000
Sun May 10
Loosened filters: 2x payout to 1.5x; stale data 10min to 30min; max positions 30 to 200 (cap was clamped)
Fri May 8
Resolution checker cadence 6h to 3h; panel login removed
Thu May 7
Kalshi 429 backoff; arb discovery 12h to 24h
Mon May 4
Loss-pattern filter (cut Kalshi quant-price markets); position size scales with bankroll
Mon May 4
Position cap scales with bankroll, not a fixed integer
Wed Apr 29
Min payout multiple gate: refuse fills worse than 2x risk-reward
Tue Apr 28
Polymarket resolution fix: closed=true filter; unblocked 251 stuck markets
Mon Apr 27
AI spend optimization (~14x reduction); whale-copy weight 20% to 40%
Sun Apr 26
Multi-provider Boss (Claude/Gemini/ChatGPT); runtime settings page
Sat Apr 25
Project started: Bellwether scaffold, initial schema, engine + panel