Bellwether. PAPER

Trades

paper - $5,000 bankroll

Open positions

1
$114.17 committed

Closed positions

258
42.6% win rate

Realized PnL

+$4,135.26
paper

Bankroll

$9,135.26
+82.71% from start

Money in flight

Right now $114.17 is committed to open paper positions. Best-case payout at full settlement is $913.34 (max gain $799.17); worst case all expire worthless ($114.17 lost).
$114.17
total committed
$114.17
avg per position
$114.17
largest open
+$799.17
max possible gain (all win)

By platform

PlatformNCommittedMax payout
polymarket 1 $114.17 $913.34

By strategy

StrategyNCommittedMax payout
slate 1 $114.17 $913.34

By side

SideNCommittedMax payout
no 1 $114.17 $913.34

Open positions (paper)

click any header to sort
Opened Platform Market Strategy Conv Side Fill Contracts Notional Resolves
Wed May 13 5:06pm polymarket
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee fo...
slate 79 NO 0.125 913 $114.17 Mon Aug 17 5:00pm

Closed positions

click any header to sort
Closed Platform Market Conv Side Closed by Fill Contracts Realized PnL
Sun Jul 12 2:00am polymarket Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peru... 85 NO NO 0.762 46 +$10.93
Sun Jul 12 2:00am polymarket Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by e... 85 NO NO 0.710 49 +$14.30
Sun Jul 5 2:00am polymarket Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by Ju... 75 YES NO 0.232 151 $-35.00
Sun Jul 5 2:00am polymarket Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by Ju... 75 NO NO 0.780 45 +$9.87
Sun Jul 5 2:00am polymarket Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? 85 NO NO 0.920 27 +$2.17
Sun Jul 5 2:00am polymarket Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles may... 85 NO NO 0.770 45 +$10.45
Sun Jun 28 2:00am polymarket Starmer out by December 31, 2026? 85 NO YES 0.330 76 $-25.00
Sun Jun 28 2:00am polymarket US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? 75 NO YES 0.270 185 $-50.00
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Kid Rock attend any UFC Freedom 250 event ... 60 NO YES 0.500 157 $-78.61
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate ... 60 NO YES 0.100 786 $-78.64
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section... 65 YES NO 0.390 197 $-76.77
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Trump publicly criticize Benjamin Netanyah... 60 YES YES 0.390 202 +$122.99
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Trump publicly criticize Benjamin Netanyah... 75 YES YES 0.270 437 +$319.21
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? 60 YES NO 0.100 787 $-78.71
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Sabrina Carpenter attend any Knicks playof... 60 YES NO 0.220 362 $-79.71
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Sabrina Carpenter attend any Knicks playof... 60 NO NO 0.800 74 +$14.80
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Elon Musk attend any UFC Freedom 250 event... 60 NO NO 0.540 143 +$65.63
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Elon Musk attend any UFC Freedom 250 event... 60 YES NO 0.350 170 $-59.54
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.... 60 NO NO 0.160 372 +$312.59
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Jake Paul attend any UFC Freedom 250 event... 60 YES NO 0.210 283 $-59.50
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section... 65 YES NO 0.150 397 $-59.54
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change A... 60 NO YES 0.240 248 $-59.54
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.... 60 YES NO 0.060 992 $-59.54
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.... 60 NO NO 0.090 662 +$602.03
Sun Jun 21 2:00am polymarket Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL ... 85 NO NO 0.419 84 +$48.57
Sun Jun 21 2:00am polymarket Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL S... 85 YES YES 0.410 85 +$50.37
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Trump publicly criticize Benjamin Netanyah... 78 YES YES 0.250 357 +$267.94
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? 60 NO YES 0.340 175 $-59.54
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Joe Rogan attend any UFC Freedom 250 event... 60 NO YES 0.130 515 $-66.90
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Conor McGregor attend any UFC Freedom 250 ... 60 NO NO 0.230 291 +$223.98
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Barron Trump attend any UFC Freedom 250 ev... 78 NO YES 0.190 528 $-100.36
Sun Jun 21 2:00am polymarket US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? 85 NO YES 0.492 71 $-35.00
Sun Jun 21 2:00am polymarket US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? 85 YES YES 0.490 71 +$36.43
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Vince McMahon attend any UFC Freedom 250 e... 60 NO NO 0.770 87 +$19.98
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Adin Ross attend any UFC Freedom 250 event... 60 YES NO 0.250 319 $-79.71
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will Adin Ross attend any UFC Freedom 250 event... 75 NO NO 0.370 271 +$170.88
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will John F. Kennedy be the Republican nominee ... 95 NO NO 0.510 555 +$272.19
Sun Jun 21 2:00am kalshi Will John F. Kennedy be the Republican nominee ... 98 NO NO 0.390 705 +$429.89
Sun Jun 14 2:00am kalshi Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section... 60 YES NO 0.690 86 $-59.54
Fri Jun 12 2:33pm polymarket US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? 85 YES whale exit 0.510 69 $-8.15
Fri Jun 12 12:26pm kalshi Will the President's approval rating be between... 60 NO NO 0.540 143 +$65.60
Fri Jun 12 12:26pm kalshi Will US Michigan consumer sentiment prel for Ju... 90 YES NO 0.150 2,099 $-314.83
Fri Jun 12 9:22am kalshi Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section... 65 YES NO 0.270 221 $-59.54
Fri Jun 12 3:17am kalshi How many initial jobless claims will there be t... 60 YES YES 0.470 163 +$86.18
Thu Jun 11 12:57pm polymarket Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by e... 75 YES whale exit 0.300 117 $-6.99
Thu Jun 11 12:00pm kalshi Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section... 60 YES NO 0.160 301 $-48.21
Thu Jun 11 8:56am kalshi Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at ... 60 NO YES 0.050 964 $-48.21
Thu Jun 11 7:30am polymarket US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? 75 YES whale exit 0.370 95 $-20.81
Wed Jun 10 1:54pm polymarket US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? 75 YES whale exit 0.320 109 $-18.59
Wed Jun 10 8:38am kalshi Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.... 65 NO YES 0.560 140 $-78.61